Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.009722 0.011639 0.013996 0.017162 0.021397 2.700370e-02 0.035243
2025-03-09 0.007167 0.009299 0.012247 0.016801 0.024032 3.583159e-02 0.058546
2025-03-16 0.006021 0.008242 0.011569 0.017261 0.027601 4.781890e-02 0.098669
2025-03-23 0.005188 0.007376 0.010853 0.017277 0.030289 6.009253e-02 0.158002
2025-03-30 0.004464 0.006515 0.009909 0.016542 0.031129 6.911724e-02 0.228695
2025-04-06 0.003967 0.005923 0.009280 0.016183 0.032592 8.122155e-02 0.351875
2025-04-13 0.003672 0.005616 0.009081 0.016612 0.036162 1.039043e-01 0.667244
2025-04-20 0.003503 0.005493 0.009190 0.017728 0.042254 1.456018e-01 1.781699
2025-04-27 0.003314 0.005305 0.009132 0.018441 0.047724 1.973108e-01 6.056129
2025-05-04 0.003085 0.005014 0.008813 0.018422 0.050855 2.458363e-01 26.243553
2025-05-11 0.002886 0.004753 0.008515 0.018379 0.053982 3.071489e-01 542.421304
2025-05-18 0.002679 0.004455 0.008094 0.017892 0.055122 3.590251e-01 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002439 0.004092 0.007528 0.017002 0.054746 4.076193e-01 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002261 0.003836 0.007172 0.016667 0.056997 5.169542e-01 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002153 0.003706 0.007084 0.017123 0.063832 7.970037e-01 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002032 0.003538 0.006876 0.017139 0.068545 1.155691e+00 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001886 0.003304 0.006478 0.016412 0.068212 1.381582e+00 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001774 0.003130 0.006207 0.016056 0.070171 1.851260e+00 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001709 0.003051 0.006159 0.016481 0.078396 3.507710e+00 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001677 0.003039 0.006279 0.017585 0.094274 1.177061e+01 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001629 0.002988 0.006292 0.018290 0.108787 5.842144e+01 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001559 0.002881 0.006138 0.018271 0.116395 3.790680e+02 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001494 0.002780 0.005989 0.018228 0.124181 1.042812e+06 NaN